Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.004120 0.004328 0.004542 0.004778 0.005031 0.005296 0.005594
2025-11-16 0.003739 0.004043 0.004367 0.004742 0.005163 0.005624 0.006171
2025-11-23 0.003512 0.003871 0.004266 0.004734 0.005279 0.005897 0.006657
2025-11-30 0.003302 0.003693 0.004133 0.004667 0.005303 0.006045 0.006986
2025-12-07 0.003135 0.003550 0.004024 0.004611 0.005327 0.006182 0.007296
2025-12-14 0.003018 0.003455 0.003963 0.004603 0.005400 0.006373 0.007674
2025-12-21 0.002850 0.003290 0.003808 0.004470 0.005306 0.006347 0.007768
2025-12-28 0.002772 0.003230 0.003774 0.004482 0.005391 0.006546 0.008160
2026-01-04 0.002720 0.003196 0.003771 0.004529 0.005520 0.006803 0.008642
2026-01-11 0.002636 0.003120 0.003711 0.004499 0.005545 0.006921 0.008935
2026-01-18 0.002569 0.003062 0.003670 0.004490 0.005595 0.007073 0.009281
2026-01-25 0.002495 0.002993 0.003611 0.004455 0.005606 0.007170 0.009550
2026-02-01 0.002470 0.002984 0.003631 0.004526 0.005766 0.007483 0.010159
2026-02-08 0.002402 0.002919 0.003575 0.004491 0.005777 0.007584 0.010455
2026-02-15 0.002350 0.002873 0.003541 0.004485 0.005826 0.007741 0.010843
2026-02-22 0.002279 0.002799 0.003469 0.004422 0.005790 0.007770 0.011030
2026-03-01 0.002217 0.002734 0.003406 0.004370 0.005769 0.007817 0.011246
2026-03-08 0.002174 0.002695 0.003376 0.004363 0.005810 0.007960 0.011627
2026-03-15 0.002091 0.002599 0.003267 0.004239 0.005674 0.007824 0.011531
2026-03-22 0.002060 0.002574 0.003253 0.004250 0.005740 0.008003 0.011980
2026-03-29 0.002042 0.002565 0.003261 0.004294 0.005856 0.008266 0.012592
2026-04-05 0.002001 0.002522 0.003222 0.004266 0.005860 0.008349 0.012889
2026-04-12 0.001968 0.002491 0.003196 0.004258 0.005894 0.008481 0.013284